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28 // iberian.propery / 2017

dossier// ISSUE: TOP IBERIAN cities

3 questions you should ask

before investing in Madrid:

A pool of experts answers three key ques-

tions, predicting how they expect investment

in Madrid to evolve over upcoming months.

1

Would you recommend

investing in Madrid today?

What is the principal reason?

There are still good opportunities to invest in

Madrid, despite the increase in prices of the

last fewyears. The logistics sector is a good

example due to the attractive combination of

secure income with high entry yields (c.6.0%

comparingwith 5.0-5.5% for France/Germa-

ny), limited availability of quality stock (3-5%

vacancy rate) and rental growth potential

driven by positive trends in tenant demand.

Absolutely. Madrid is the capital of Spain

and the country’s main business hub. Prod-

ucts in Madrid are still relatively cheap com-

pared to other European cities. It is an ideal

market for investors who focus purely on

the office segment, as reflected by the

latest data which shows that investment

volumes were up 55% in the first half of

the year, versus the same period last year.

2

Do you believe the market will

continue to appreciate over the

next 12 months?

Will that evolution occur mainly

through yield compression or a

rise in rents?

With yields at historic lows, it will be difficult

to see additional value increases on core

properties since, in most cases, rental growth

is already priced in the valuations. Howev-

er there is room to create value for those

investors initiating projects that involve (re)

development, refurbishment and leasing risk.

In our opinion, the market is not fluctuat-

ing. In fact, the outlook is positive across

all market segments and, although we’re

seeing yield compression, the trend is to-

wards a more stable scenario and a gradual

increase in rental levels, due mainly to the

lack of supply.

3

What is the main investment

barrier?

The main difficulty in executing investments

in Madrid has to do with the scarcity of

“in-

vestable”

assets which, combined with the

current low yields, puts pressure on asset

pricing, making it difficult to achieve the

returns required by institutional investors

unless additional risk is taken. As a result,

some markets in secondary cities (i.e. high

street) are increasing their attractiveness vs.

Madrid and Barcelona.

The primary challenge is the lack of quality

product. This is why the major opportuni-

ty for the market lies in asset renovation

and repositioning to adapt existing stock

to current trends and investors’ demands.

Antonio

Simontalero

CBRE GI

Head of

Investment

Operations Iberia

Enrique Losantos

JLL

CEO Spain